What it is

Market regime ek descriptive label hai overall market ke "mood" ka — aaj NIFTY ya broader market kis structure mein chal raha hai. Stocks individually trend mein ho sakte hain, par regime context batata hai ki mahaul kaisa hai.

Analogy: regime ek weather forecast nahi, weather report hai. Aaj barish ho rahi hai — yeh ek state hai. Stock walk khareed ne ka decision aapka, par yeh jaanke ki bahar barish hai, samajhdaar choice banti hai.

Tietiy do parallel regime views publish karta hai (locked Phase-2 decision):

View 1: Legacy 5-state → 4-color light

Originally TIE TIY blueprint v1.1 mein 5-state regime tha — Strong Bull / Bull / Choppy / Bear / Strong Bear. Most consumers (chart, brief, WhatsApp card) ek single-color "light" prefer karte hain, isi liye 5 states ko 4 colors mein project kar diya gaya:

  • Green — Strong Bull + Bull. Market wide rally.
  • Amber — Choppy. Range-bound, leadership thin.
  • Red — Bear + Strong Bear. Wide weakness.
  • Grey — Insufficient data / freshness fail.

View 2: New 2-axis trend × volatility

Cockpit-native — 6 to 9 regimes ek 2D grid pe. Ek axis trend (UP / DOWN / SIDEWAYS), doosra axis volatility (LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH). Combinations: "Trending Up, Quiet" vs "Trending Up, Violent" — bilkul alag trading environments hain, lekin classic 5-state mein dono ek hi color mein flatten ho jaate the.

An alignment matrix bhi ship hota hai — har sector + index combo ka trend × volatility cell, ek heatmap ki tarah. Yeh decide karta hai "kahaan log ek direction mein ek-saath move kar rahe hain" vs "scatter".

How tietiy computes it

Yeh ek scope=universe producer hai — matlab full cross-section milne ke baad calculate hota hai. Inputs:

  • NIFTY 50 + NIFTY 500 ke index OHLC.
  • EMA stacks (20 / 50 / 200) on index.
  • Breadth — % stocks above 50-day MA, % above 200-day MA.
  • Volatility — ATR-based or returns-std-based, normalized.
  • Aggregate stock-trend distribution (% UP, % DOWN, % CHOPPY across universe).

5-state classification ek deterministic rule-tree hai (thresholds on breadth × trend slope × volatility). 2-axis grid same inputs ko alag tarah project karta hai. Last regime flips waqt-stamped log mein archived hote hain — same-day flip ho to baad mein hide nahi kiya jaata.

What this site shows you

Homepage ke top par "Today" strip pe regime light dikhta hai — color + label. Markets page ke top par 2-axis grid card hota hai. Brief (WhatsApp + email + brief archive) hamesha regime se shuru hoti hai — "GREEN · Bull · Trending Up Quiet". Each stock page ka context bhi regime chip carry karta hai.

How to read it

  • Green + Trending Up Quiet = textbook calm bull. Leaders chalein properly. Most setups historically work in this regime.
  • Green + Trending Up Violent = bull market mein chop. Breakouts false ho sakte hain, sizing tight rakhna context demand karta hai.
  • Amber + Choppy = leadership rotate kar rahi hai. RS leaders aaj kal laggard, this week alag. Patience context.
  • Red = wide weakness. RS-leader chips ka meaning shift ho jaata hai (defensive leaders matter more). Setup base rates yahaan kam favorable hote hain.
  • Regime flips kabhi-kabhi same-day reverse hote hain. Don't anchor too fast — flip + confirmation paired hain.

What this does NOT tell you

  • Individual stock-specific edge. Regime macro context hai. Stock page apna alag SIS, RS, trend deta hai — macro override nahi.
  • Sector-specific regime. Sector rotation chip alag aati hai. Aggregate regime green ho sakta hai jab specific sectors red ho.
  • Tomorrow's regime. Sirf aaj ka label hai. Tomorrow can flip — koi forecast nahi.
  • Why the regime shifted. Drivers article cover karta hai "narrative reasons." Regime sirf "what" answer karta hai, "why" nahi.

Why both views ship together. 5-state is what existing consumers (the brief card, WhatsApp post) need — single color light. 2-axis is what serious traders need — "trending up but violent" alag context hai from "trending up quiet." Operator chose BOTH (Phase-2 reconciliation decision #2) — yeh additive evolution hai, repurpose nahi.