What it is
Trend state ek single-label answer hai is sawal ka — "yeh stock aaj kis direction mein structurally chal raha hai?" Charts pe aap line kheech ke khud trend banate ho. Tietiy wahi kaam ek deterministic rule-set se karta hai, taaki har 437 stocks ka label same logic se aaye, har shaam same.
Soch ke dekho ek mausam ki tarah. Aaj barish ho rahi hai — yeh ek state hai. Kal hogi ya nahi, woh forecast hai (different kaam). Trend state aaj ka mausam batata hai, kal ka nahi.
Char states hain, aur har stock ko exactly ek milta hai:
- UP — higher highs + higher lows ki structure intact hai. EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 stack (jab "stacked_up" tag bhi lagta hai).
- DOWN — lower highs + lower lows. EMA stack inverted. Demand zones toot rahi hain.
- TRANSITIONAL — ek structural break hua hai (UP se DOWN, ya vice versa), lekin abhi naya trend confirm nahi hua. Yeh sabse bada "uncertainty" label hai.
- CHOPPY — koi clean swing structure nahi hai. Pivots tightly cluster kar rahe hain, range bound, no thrust.
Ek important baat: trend state stock-specific hai. Market kuch bhi kare, RELIANCE.NS apni khud ki kahaani follow karta hai. Market regime (alag article) batata hai ki overall mausam kya hai.
How tietiy computes it
Trend state aata hai structure producer se. Inputs simple
hain — daily OHLC bars + do parallel pivot families (
zigzag 5% reversal threshold, aur lookback_n10
fractal — same algorithm jo production scanner use karta hai). Pivots
milne ke baad, sequence se ek structure_label derive hota
hai: HH-HL, LH-LL, BOS (break of structure), CHoCH (change of character),
etc. EMA stack ek second confirmer hai, primary nahi.
Sabse important rule — last pivot is always provisional. Matlab jab tak bar close nahi hota aur next swing develop nahi hota, latest pivot repaint ho sakta hai. Trend state isi liye lag bhi sakta hai aur shift bhi ho sakta hai. Yeh feature hai, bug nahi — honest hai.
What this site shows you
Har stock page par top section mein big-letter trend label dikhega — jaise "Trend: UP · structure_label: HH-HL · last pivot: 14 days ago". SR zones aur pivot markers iss label ke consistent rendering hain chart pe. Markets page pe aap "how many stocks are UP today" type aggregate bhi dekh sakte ho — that's where leadership tilt visible hota hai.
How to read it
- UP + stacked EMA + RS leader = strongest descriptive read. Yeh signal nahi hai, yeh context hai — entry rule alag se.
- TRANSITIONAL ka matlab "structure recently shifted." Iska natural read hai "wait for confirmation," lekin yeh tietiy ka faisla nahi — decision aapka.
- CHOPPY ke beech volume-state DRY ho to noise zyada hai, signal kam. Profit-taking mode mein ho to fine.
- Trend label same hai 1D timeframe ke liye. Intraday traders ko 1D label as context use karna chahiye, signal as not.
- Trend label har shaam refresh hota hai. Same-day flips kabhi-kabhi hote hain — woh log kiye jaate hain, hide nahi.
What this does NOT tell you
Trend state aapko nahi batata:
- Kal kya hoga. UP ka matlab bilkul nahi hai "kal chadhega." Sirf itna ki aaj tak ki structure higher-highs higher-lows wali hai.
- Entry / stop / target. Yeh structural label hai, trade plan nahi. Setup rules different jagah live hain.
- Trend ka strength magnitude. Strength ke liye RS rank dekho, aur volume-state. Trend state binary-ish hai — bas direction.
- Fundamental health. Pure price-structure read hai. Earnings, promoter activity, debt — woh sab cockpit ke alag producers cover karte hain (or will).
Honest disclosure. Last pivot provisional hota hai. Iska matlab TRANSITIONAL label kabhi-kabhi "fake out" jaisa lag sakta hai — pivot repaint hone par label UP ya DOWN par revert ho sakta hai. Yeh deliberate hai (industry-standard ZigZag behavior). Iss site ka koi producer provisional pivot par koi auto-action nahi leta.